You may want to agree that History is a priceless treasury of sleeping wisdom, waiting to be resurrected and understood - to improve our life - instead of slowly turning to dust, forgotten in tomes nobody reads or in confidential erudition nobody listens to.
I am puzzled by the apparent lack of effect of such a vital accumulation and millenary transmission of human experience along the generations of History; the chronicle of facts of life, ways of the world, narrations of errors, victories, situations, events - all those precious and meaningful patterns seem hardly used.
Hegel, the philosopher of grand synthesis looks at history and concludes dryly: We learn from History that people learn nothing from History [1]. Then Santayana the humanist warns wisely that those who cannot remember the past are destined to relive it. [2] To this outrageous and joyfully ignored truth, an anonymous saying appends: Wise people learn from other people’s errors; intelligent people learn from their own; fools never learn.
Are we all such hopeless fools? Is humanity so stupid? Can’t we learn from the experience of the past generations? Why? Are not the pages of History one of the main treasuries of practical wisdom offered to us?
*
To put some water in my wine, I must concede that there may be many reasons for which we - and our governments - don't learn from history; like our known inability to count with things out of sight, to far away or too long ago.
I only consider here one important cause, because we could do something about it to improve our lives:
We do not learn from History because we are not educated from History.
We would learn more from accounts meaningful for our life, presented in compelling forms, to understand and to follow.
Maybe the historians and the teachers do not know anymore how to speak with each other or, if the teachers don't want to listen, the historians do not find the words and the ways to speak to common people. Something clips the wings of the historians.
*
Maybe that which clips the wings of historians as educators is, paradoxically, the idea of progress[3]. Some may feel that it is not worth learning from history because the world moves forward and upwards, irreversibly and what was, will never come again.* The future is forever new. Accordingly, we let the sleeping wisdom of History sleep in peace.
I imagine Professor Strawman ridiculing me: “Don’t you see Ioan, you silly man that progress is as objective, inevitable and irreversible as evolution – from amoebas to our brains, from cut stone to computers, from knee-jerk to thinking, from superstition to reason? Are you blind to the proven obvious? Can’t you see how well, how healthy, how comfortable, how much more we live compared with the French Kings?”
Why learn from the past when you know, following Darwin and Marx that Matter and its Energy evolves by itself? Progress advances inexorably, of course: by trial, error, selection of the fittest offspring of chance, determination of economic forces and dialectic succession of contraries. Just join the stream of progress, work, sacrifice what you have to sacrifice for the sake of the future generations, go to war for the future of peace. You are certain, we speak to you in truth, in the name of Reason and of Science, that a future world will come where everything will be better.
Be free by submitting to the necessity of the natural laws, to the objective laws of material, scientific, technological, economic and social progress and lo, History grows by itself, like grass, from less to more, simple to complex, bad to better, ignorance to science. To represent this huge force, the historians offers mainly fable, stories, detail and wishful interpretation, no laws; What's the use of stories that are not even true? [4] Since humanity does not move by the dreams and the deeds of great people, there is no use for us to learn from history recounted."
If Prof. Strawman is right, if progress is a one-way upwards, blind force of infinite perfectibility, History may be just wild goose chase, a fool’s errand or, as a colourful Romanian proverb puts it, "amassing dead-horse-shoes."
Interesting! I feel like I just stumbled upon an axiom; progress is "obviously" given, of course, a law of nature! Hmm! Is it?
Some other fatalist worshipers - of deity - know that whatever will happen is written, we cannot change it: Inshallah , Deo Volente, Be’Ezrat Hashem, God-willing. "There is nothing new in the world but we can do nothing about it."
Fatalism may be also a feature of many a loser’s victim-character: Everything that happens is because of somebody else, forces outside of us, beyond our reach.
Let me assume, as a working hypothesis that the believers in any universal and necessary causality - natural or supernatural - have no use of wisdom from the past; at least no voluntary use of it. History cannot help much such citizens of the land where everything that is not forbidden is mandatory. [5]
For all these straw people history is school-chore, book-worm stuff, hobby, literature, hours wasted, time better used in a laboratory or a church.
*
For the modest rest of us, not hindered by fatalism, the question remains: why do so many excellent historians so little to educate us wiser? Why is it that schoolboy Montaigne found more wisdom in Herodotus and Erasmus’s mirabilia than we learn today from the huge, sound treatises?
History developed so much the last century; the archaeologist dug deeper and deeper into the well of the past, the historians found and checked flurries of documents, methods are more and more reliable. Forgive me the time-worn jest, perhaps they specialize so much that each learns more and more about less and less until they know everything about nothing or nothing about everything**.
Maybe there is another cause of shyness; perhaps the serious historians found in their inner chambers that the thin traces of written history left to us are imprecise, biased, mostly fable, cosmetic, self-serving apology by leaders who dreamt their image into posterity. Maybe there is too much pressure on history to be politically correct. Perhaps its interpretation changes too often. Indeed, I remember my Mother, a researcher in history saying years ago in a totalitarian country; “The past is most difficult to foresee nowadays, as the line of the party changes perpetually.”
Because of such imprecision and fantasy righteous Plutarch will cry that the king is naked: “Herodotus is a father of lies!”[6] and for millennia everybody will nod approvingly, forgetting that unscientific Herodotus created the very word History, and its aim, the occupation of writing down the memories of the past for future generations to learn.
Methinks, some good people from the teachers of today, tired of life, lost faith in the practical value of old recipes from history, since their truth is literary truth not scientific, not pure enough, not precise enough. Obviously, the narratives of history cannot be reproduced in laboratory in order to be tested. I feel sad that the words of Herodotus, some two thousands five hundred years ago, about the task of the historian lost their echo: “WHAT Herodotus the Halicarnassian has learnt by inquiry is here set forth : in order that so the memory of the past may not be blotted out from among men by time, and that great and marvelous deeds done by Greeks and foreigners and especially the reason why they warred against each other may not lack renown.”[7]
Frankly, for me, as a layman, learning something meaningful from past critical situations, errors and ways to do better is the only public benefit of history – and a vital benefit too, to do better next time we meet something similar.
Most probably there are such wonderful pragmatic books drawing learning from the past for the living person of today but I just don’t know about them except say, some big tomes reserved to the knowing amateurs: Gibbon’s History of the Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire, Durant’s Story of Civilisation, Toynbee’s Study of History or Spengler’s Decline of the West, with all their bias. I can hardly imagine those tomes as a compelling source of wisdom for the common people or even for their elected governments. We did not learn history in this way in our school years. Or should we count on the television series and the big-budget films to become wiser?
*
So, let me summarise my heretic argument valid, I am aware, only within the limited sample of my own superficially informed mind;
I do see that there is much visible progress in tools, technology, comfort, knowledge, and understanding, in the refinement of civilisation; but there is any time a seemingly ignored potential of regress, decline, collapse, of falling back into barbarianism, from humanity into animality, from affluence into destruction and mere survival; anytime! A cultivated nation can turn beastly in a few years, or even faster. Imagine turning off electricity for a while. See war at work and judge what a "civilised" nation can do in wartime.
Civilisation is nurtured in good family for long years to mature while savagery is born every day anew, in one instant, with each cuddly newborn. A slip, a disaster and everything tips... or it just declines, too slow for us to see.
I believe that progress in knowledge, technology and in competence did not produce equivalent evolution in the human nature; civilisation knows refinement in each favourable age but the slump and the relapse are always barbarian; tempers, characters, instincts, feelings like love and hate, crisis, stress, are the same; if you do read literature and history, if you travel, if you look around you in moments of truth and emergency you meet today the same passions, dilemmas and dramas as in Antiquity and probably they are not so far today from what they were at the door of the pre-historic caves.
Nothing irreversible progressed in the life-stories of human beings.
*
We can learn from history, elusive as it is; I am not shocked by history being most probably a mixture of interpreted reality and of fable. So are some of the great works of literature and of art, fabricated to be full of human and historic truth and to generate civilisation. What I seek in the history text, for myself and for the ones I want to educate with wisdom is some coherent and understandable form, Gestalt, metaphor, comparison, striking narratives from which we can learn to live better, not precise accounts but essence, typical of real life that was.
I need all the mental treasuries that would furnish minds well made, able to judge well and exclaim “But this happened before!” instead of doing the same mistakes again as if newborn in a squirrel-cage of ever turning Samsara. People who do learn from the past may be able to cause progress instead of suffering it. They may also understand that they can do more for regress not to happen to end our proud "unique" civilisation of the day.
If Humanity saw all that before, let Humanity tell me what it means for me! I do believe that some of the critical situations of history are typical and forever repeated “mutatis mutandis”, worth learning from... I am avid to know what those events meant, what they mean for me and what they mean for people today and tomorrow.
Let's do at least as much as Herodotus!
___________
[1]Hegel, Georg Wilhelm Friedrich, The Philosophy of History, Batoche Books, Kitchener, Ontario, 2001, p.19 : "Rulers, Statesmen, Nations, are wont to be emphatically commended to the teaching which experience offers in history. But what experience and history teach is this — that peoples and governments never have learned anything from history, or acted on principles deduced from it."
[2] George Santayana The Life of Reason, NEW YORK, CHARLES SCRIBNER'S SONS, 1917, p. 284: ”Progress, far from consisting in change, depends on retentiveness. When change is absolute there remains no being to improve and no direction is set for possible improvement: and when experience is not retained, as among savages, infancy is perpetual. Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.” *(With all this talk about progress I imagine Socrates saying with his ironic smile: “So, if progress is so obvious for you, as you all speak so firmly about it, you will certainly know what it is and what it means. Explain to me, Sir, what it is, since I am totally confused...”) In fact, I proceeded to study the matter and I discovered how naive I was. This "solid" notion is for the least suspect. The seemingly innocent word, presented as an axiom, a proven principle, is not neutral, nor scientific; it hides ethical beliefs of necessary and uni-directional evolution from bad or evil towards the good and a promise of a better future life very much like the one of the best religions. It is a notion of hope. Amen!
[3] Becker Carl L., Progress and Power: Three Lectures Delivered at Stanford University, on the Raymond Fred West Memorial Foundation, April 1935. Contributors: Carl L. Becker - author. Publisher: Stanford University Press. Place of Publication: Stanford, CA. Publication Year: 1936.
Read this long quote, from Becker, it is worth considering: “WE ARE all familiar with the word "progress." Like any other word it has a primary meaning, which my dictionary informs me is "to move forward." In this sense it is merely a convenient term of reference which one may use without becoming involved in any metaphysical imbroglio. But, like many another innocent word, the word "progress" has taken on secondary meanings. Raised to the dignity of a noun and charged with philosophical implications, it has long been permitted to associate, perhaps not quite on equal terms, with such eminent scientific words as "process," "development," and "evolution." In this austere company it is not to be approached lightly, or without precautions. It is not, like "process," an entirely neutral term, or, like "development" and "evolution," one from which it is easy to eliminate all but the faintest vestiges of ethical significance. On the contrary, it is so heavily loaded with moral and teleological overtones that no scientist with any sense of decency will use it. It implies that there are values in the world. It implies, not only that the world moves forward, but that it moves forward to some good purpose, to some more felicitous state. In short, the word Progress, like the Cross or the Crescent, is a symbol that stands for a social doctrine, a philosophy of human destiny. “
Read also the eye-opening analysis of the notion by J. B. Bury in Bury, J. B., The Idea of Progress, Macmillan and Co., London, 1920
[4] Rushdie, Salman, Haroun and the Sea of Stories, Penguin, 1990
[5] T.H.White, The Once and Future King ** I wander who said this: A physicist learns more and more about less and less, until he knows everything about nothing; whereas a philosopher learns less and less about more and more, until he knows nothing about everything. The Routledge Dictionary of Quotation (Robert Andrews) quotes Nicholas Murray Buttler 1862-1948 to have sais at the Columbia University that “ An expert is one who knows more and more about less and less”
[6] Plutarch, On the Malignity of Herodotus, Moralia XI (Loeb Classical Library 426). [7] Herodotus, Book I, Loeb Classical Library 1920 p. 3
I used to believe that you do not need to know everything, that it is sufficient to know where to find it [1]. "A well made rather than a well filled head "[2] Is that so? Look at this pad in front of me! It contains a few thousands of the best books in the world, writers, sages, thinkers, legends, myth, fable, proverbs and sayings, sacred writ of great religions, history, philosophy, sculptures, paintings,... and also the best dictionaries, sources of quotes...* The sleeping wisdom of the World...Here and now, they are (almost) all laying in my lap. I posses the books, I have them, well, I have copies of copies of copies of them. Now what, Ioan? I cannot own them. They would be mine only after absorbing the marrow of the whole lot in my mind. A child can count on his fingers that in the best of cases I cannot hope enough days left in my life to read this, and even less to assimilate it and make it mine. * In fact, even if the brigand rapacity of the copy right businesses and the censorship of the tyrants and the snooping mania of terrorised governments do not choke the Internet, we still head into a Huxley-world where people become unable to read books, in spite of all being available to them. As Neil Postman [3] wrote, Orwell described a world where people were forbidden to read, while Huxley drew one in which people will be incapable to read a book. For the young Internauts of humanity this implies, now, a choice between a new kind of education and yet another middle age of barbarianism. * How to prepare for the flood? What to do under the deluge? Like legendary Noah, I tried to go back to square one – in haste – to select and take on board only the time-tested great books of humanity. Read them first, I told myself, all the rest can wait; unfortunately, that only works for me in private, such passéism would kill almost everything recent. How sinister it would be to drag humanity back into the past, how unfair to the new creators! There are some temporary advantages though; from the time I started my cultural fundamentalism strategy, I felt less confused and I learned much quicker, with less spam in my eyes and ears. I feel relatively secure because I see the way and I have a key. I did learn a lot. Gradually, I become more aware from where we come and what my words mean. Definitely, I know today much more about the immensity I do not know. This is a good strategy, for a while. * The bad solution to the immensity of the past is certainly the current, dominant one: specialise and ignore the rest. Worst than this are only “We don’t need no education...” or the one-book-culture. On this path we lost the way of reasoning of the universal giants... We wait, I believe, for new giants of synthetic mind like Aristotle or Leonardo, Montaigne, Shakespeare or Newton, or Einstein, not blinded by technology, method and gain, to turn their genius towards the human condition and culture. * We have a possibility to trust some new well read sages to select for us and to maintain credible lists worth reading; they cannot be however scientists or technicians alien to the cultural heritage which “does not compute” and certainly they cannot be little-red-book politicians or firm believers of whatever creed. There is good company available to join. Great writers use to share what they read and advise what is worth. Some lettered trials are the life-time reading plans of the Western Cannon and the Eastern one: Harold Bloom proposed the Western literary Canon [4] Read the books he listed and you will be a cultivated Occidental... and a few years older. For a shorter kind of list, Italo Calvino would probably inspire you [5] An Eastern canon is added to the Western, to speak about a meaningful world culture: A trial among several is at: Online Literature . Indeed, how to speak about culture, without reading other sacred writs like the Koran, Tao te Ching, Confucius, Buddha, Zoroaster, some Upanishads at the minimum, some Egyptian and Tibetan books of the dead to complete our Hebrew and Greek roots? How to ignore Gilgamesh, the Persian poets, The Chinese Arts of War, Zen haikus and the oceans of streams of Indian stories from which come some of our tales, fables and dreams? If you chose this path, and you can do it without haste, with some perseverance and while still young enough, you will find plenty of good leads and pleasure, rewarding juicy fruit. You will find another, richer, world to complete this one, even here on Earth. * Alternatively, we require an education of search for our own voyage. We need to learn how to learn. It only works if you build your own head, an ability to ask questions and to evaluate what you found, to ask “Really? Who says so?” To say “I like this, but not this.” And “Sorry, this I do not understand.” That in turn, is built traditionally on being educated in an educated family or by great mentors. You need masters, not teachers. The internet navigator needs an aristocratic education, not a democratic one, else he will be run-of-the-mill trash carried by digital tides. To stay clean of litter on this way we also need a re-education of the quote-culture; most of the rubbish that pollutes the mind on Internet today drips from imbecile attribution of ideas and phrases to people who never said them. By some perversion, it become usual to "quote" boldly, without indicating who and where and when. To really understand an idea you must know it's parents. We also need technology to turn towards content, with tools serving the seeker. Today, I still do not find the simple decent search engine which like Google would find the paragraph, the phrase, the idea I need, when I need it, not on Internet but here in my lap on my own computer. The profusion of technicians do not seem to understand yet the usefulness of helping us to find things in our own treasury. * Well, this being the disquieting state of the matter it is still true that a voyage of a thousand miles keeps starting with the one next step; any good book is a door to everything else. In spite of my anxious look at all those tomes, it is never too late in fact to start reading a great book, any good book, as a first step. It was well said that even a little learning, which is like a small candle lit in the dark, forms a friendly nest of light, much friendlier that the frightening darkness of ignorance. ------------ *and I left aside Music and Science and everything else I forgot. [1] “You don't need to know everything, just know where to find it.” No, it is not from Einstein, nor an American president! Exact quote with context: “A clergyman should be well equipped for indexing the best he reads in books and for filing clippings. Educated people are not those who know everything, but rather those who know where to find, at a moment's notice, the information they desire..." The Expositor and Current Anecdotes, Volume 16, Indexing and Filing, 1914-1915, [INDEXING AND FILING, Advertisement for Wilson Index Company of Lynn, Massachusetts] Page XX, Column 2, F. M. Barton, Publishing, Cleveland, Ohio. Quotation appears two pages after page 744 on a page labeled XX) In Quote Investigator to whom I thank again for their work. [2] Explains Montaigne: “ For a child of noble family who seeks learning not for gain (...), or so much for external advantages as for his own, and to enrich and furnish himself inwardly, since I would rather make of him an able man than a learned man, I would also urge that care be taken to choose for him a guide with a well-made rather than a well-filled head; that both these qualities should be required of him, but more particularly character and understanding than learning; and that he should go about his job in a novel way. (my bolding) Michel de Montaigne, Of the education of children, in SELECTED ESSAYS TRANSLATED, AND WITH INTRODUCTION AND NOTES BY DONALD M. FRAME, Classics Club, WALTER J. BLACK, • ROSLYN, N. Y. , 1943 [3] Postman, Neil, Amusing Ourselves to Death: Public Discourse in the Age of Show Business. USA: Penguin Books, N.Y., 1985. A book to read carefully, I am afraid. The exact quote from the Introduction: “Orwell warns that we will be overcome by an externally imposed oppression. But in Huxley's vision, no Big Brother is required to deprive people of their autonomy, maturity and history. As he saw it, people will come to love their oppression, to adore the technologies that undo their capacities to think. What Orwell feared were those who would ban books. What Huxley feared was that there would be no reason to ban a book, for there would be no one who wanted to read one. Orwell feared those who would deprive us of information. Huxley feared those who would give us so much that we would be reduced to passivity and egoism. Orwell feared that the truth would be concealed from us. Huxley feared the truth would be drowned in a sea of irrelevance. Orwell feared we would become a captive culture. Huxley feared we would become a trivial culture, preoccupied with some equivalent of the feelies, the orgy porgy, and the centrifugal bumblepuppy. As Huxley remarked in Brave New World Revisited, the civil libertarians and rationalists who are ever on the alert to oppose tyranny "failed to take into account man's almost infinite appetite for distractions". In 1984, Huxley added, people are controlled by inflicting pain. In Brave New World, they are controlled by inflicting pleasure. In short, Orwell feared that what we hate will ruin us. Huxley feared that what we love will ruin us. This book is about the possibility that Huxley, not Orwell, was right.” [4] Bloom Harold, The Western Canon, The Books and School of the Ages, Harcourt Brace, new York.., 1994 Harold Bloom's WESTERN CANON is outlined conveniently at THE BOOKLIST CENTER [5] Calvino, Italo, Why Read The Classics?, Vintage Books, New York, 2001 There are many other credible sources: The editors of The Norwegian Book Clubs asked 100 prominent authors to nominate ten books that, in their opinion, are the ten best and most central works in world literature: THE 100 BEST BOOKS IN THE HISTORY OF LITERATURE Borges, Jorge Luis; Eliot Weinberger (ed.,tr.); Esther Allen (tr.); Suzanne Jill Levine (tr.); Selected Non-fictions Penguin, 2000
The old house grew cluttered.
I could not stop myself to cling and grab and stash, so that things piled up beyond that which my memory can hold;
all those objects, those worn coffers, are hardly mine anymore, absent from my attention, a resting place for dust.
My better mouse trap is so crowded there is no place left for the mouse.
Maybe the well is dry and all these thoughts, elusive, too quick to catch, are only flies buzzing over the drying mud. Maybe this is the end.
*
What wisdom can I draw from such a troubled state of mind?
*
That it is time for spring cleaning.
Am I displeased with myself? As Eckhard Tolle says [1], it means that there are two of us: the one who does not satisfy me and the one who is displeased; I must find myself - the free, the lighter one - and take distance from the one I dislike.
I may need a lighter broom too. Many years ago I learned that in difficult situations when people feel lost, the miraculous recipe is to make things simple; to ask “what does all this mean in plain human terms?”
Look at Montaigne teaching “l’air de rien” such simple things, like wisdom being an art to live well as you are, not by chasing some unattainable perfection.
Take it easier; enjoy the sunshine and the quiet evenings. Eat only what you need. Read some good books. Write one thought at a time. Smile and be smiled to.
This is a wonderful season to cast aside or to give away, to unlearn and forget, to be nice, to leave some space for other people...
[1] Eckhart Tolle, The Power of Now, author’s introduction: “I cannot live with myself any longer.” This was the thought that kept repeating itself in my mind. Then suddenly I became aware of what a peculiar thought it was. "Am I one or two? If I cannot live with myself, there must be two of me: the 'I' and the 'self' that 'I' cannot live with.“ ”Maybe,“ I thought,” only one of them is real.”
If you hold to be a good person you cannot look a pig in the eyes; nor any other sentient being we prey on. We kill them in masses to pig ourselves lavishly. Not to speak about the vicious crime, easy to discern, of hunting for mere pleasure, without excuse of hunger. You can enjoy ignorance for long years but when the thought comes at last to you it is clear; on one hand it is us or them, on the other hand the way we treat them is evil. Renouncing to eat life would be betraying our life, this beastly thing in us, our most precious and sacred possession. We would not listen to the clandestine suicides of humankind tempting us to gradually stop eating. For the time being at least we will sacrifice to eat. But we also close our eyes to mass torture in cold blood and that is debasing humanity. This is not good. And why is the sacrifice of other beings done so cruelly? First of all, for money, to have them plenty and cheep. The grand monstrosity comes with industrial production and urge for profit. Granting animals a livable life before we devour them would diminish productivity and thus the offer, therefore increasing price and rarity. Humane, the poor nations could not multiply to cover the earth crust to the last shore and the rich ones would have to eat meat twice a week like our ancestors. So, we keep delegating the butchery to the butchers who only follow orders, out of sight and out of our mind. Occasionally we cry in our soup. Nothing will be done to really improve the animal condition. No politician will announce such news in a democracy, except at gunpoint. No free voting crowd would plebiscite animal rights, fasting or even restraint. The tyrant – and there will be new ones, no doubt – will feel such meekness to be against their very nature of predators or they will fear to excite the human beast more than they fear the human person. * Growing them humanely, allowing them a life cycle, being, playing, their moments of joy, killing them as swiftly as we have the skill, would still be morally schizophrenic but could balance ritually the sacrifice; we must feed the animal in us or die but we would do it with as much pity and respect as possible for the enlightened beast which we want to be. What to do then? The one, the only one who can act is us, you and I, in our weakness, with small steps, seemingly insignificant. The ice age hunters learned to respect their pray and to commune with it. The North American Indians knew deference for the buffaloes. In fact all firsthand hunters living from their neighbour creatures understand the need to respect and protect the pray, not to spit into the fountain from which they drink. Maybe this was not just naive folklore and superstition; maybe they respected the victim to be able to respect themselves. Perhaps, those of us who pause before eating to thank God for the bread, could add a word of thanks to the animal who gave them its life. This could be a good start, seemingly small, but with possibly unexpected consequences. Imagine yourself finding the words to thank to this piece of chicken or this steak you are about to eat! Can you do it? We could find a public way back towards the old-time respect for the prey.As a person, I would do what I can; eat less meat, which is good for my health, anyway; punish the animal abuser when I find out and can; treat my pets with love and smile to the animals I meet (if I feel safe); refrain from killing without reason; feed and protect if I can; reject hunting for pleasure; request the State to do its’ duty of policing cruelty and poisoning our food for profit margins. I know, I cannot toy with Money, stupidity and hungry people, I cannot arrogantly advise other people what they must eat, but if I eat less I can pay more coins for better, less unhealthy quality (provided I can trust the “bio” labels which I cannot now). Egoism pays. These are small things, insignificant in the grand scheme of the Universe. Do they count? Yes, they do! It is not the one thousand things you are forced to do which make you who you are but the one thing you can chose and do freely. Does your tiny compassion for this one count in front of a hecatomb? Yes, it counts for you and it is vital for this one animal our brother.
We Europeans, should learn some subtlety from the Chinese before they come to teach us; Our technical culture fell into the strange belief that what we cannot grab does not count so that we can safely neglect it; even as we know well that there is more than what meets the eye. Are we still such stuff as dreams are made on? Not anymore; we are trained with reason to sweep away everything which is not manifest, material and explicit; the non action and the absent are too elusive to be serious; as for the potential of the not yet being, it is too protean for statistics. Impressions and hunches based on lack-of-signs are baseless superstition; common-sense or good-sense about what is missing is folklore. As for imagination, it is for arts and entertainment. This attitude is born from the faith that everything is determined by matter, by vectors...and by money; the rest - spirit, mind, feeling, memory, intuition, beliefs, dreams, will, even who we are - are mere reflections, not to be trusted. * There is hope though; quality intellect can be educated to account with intangibles. We can learn from the East to be haiku poets, to use the present and the absent, the precise and the subtle, what is and what we want, at the same time – to understand, to decide and to do. This needs not remain Chinese for us. There are alternatives to our standard model of reasoning, ways in which you acquire a rich non-linear movement of mind complementary to analysis and explication: You emulate the understanding style of Lao Tzu, you imitate the Tao of water, you check the rules of Sun Tzu, you chance the ruses of the 36 Strategies; the same way you refine your mind with the Sufi turns of mind of Nasruddin Hodja, the myriad recipes of the folk sayings of the world, the ever-returning destinies people live according to the archetypes of the great myths, religions and masterpieces of the world literature canons. We fill our mental coffers not only with ideas and procedures but also with forms, shapes, mental tools and choices of emotion, skill of looking and understanding, angles and points of view for looking at the World, balances for weighing the importance, the goodness lenses for beauty and ugly. If you feel this is interesting, click here.
This is about making future look simple; or about inventing it.
The statistician will scoff at my naive, innumerate device, a five-year’s forecasting examples; he knows much better. However, with or without mathematics, when you look at the past and it has an air of something you saw before, or you look at the present and the scenery feels familiar it is normal to guess that maybe, the future will follow the trend. The challenge is to give bold form to this trend, in a way that leads to understanding and to action. I found often useful to hint the future in a simple image; this gives confidence and focus in high moments; but you must avoid believing in such metaphors, better keep your eyes open; change happens. The precision of such shapes of the future is doubtful, while you guess keep your eyes open for correction; that however does not matter so much; their role is to give meaning and organise for a while; simple means helping to important ends. * As I am a visual person, I use visual shapes which I describe here. There are no doubt other shapes I do not represent. Auditive people will observe shapes essential in music, with the same guiding value; some individuals recognise shapes in their own movement, be it action or dance or in touching things. I met people who think amazingly, understand and solve problems with their hands; they too seem to know what will happen. And of course, the masters of words find forms in the constructions of language spinning logic to deduce from the past what will be in the future. I am certain that the mathematicians, those mysterious wizards who know how the universe must be see wonderfully useful shapes which we could apply if they deigned to explain us. These are shapes I know that I do not know but there are certainly other forms beyond my horizon, which I ignore. * Here are a few examples from endlessly many; if you use the principle with intuition and common sense you will no doubt build your own:
Here are a few examples from endlessly many; if you use the principle with intuition and common sense you will no doubt build your own:
Something that went on and on, right ahead may keep following a straight line. Or suddenly stop, if there is some foreseeable or unforeseeable reason for it; that is a future which has a shape of a line. Dare to draw consequences and also to consider what will alter the line if that is needed. "What was before will be again, and what is was before…there is nothing new under the sun." Ecclesiastes 1:9-11. If the straight line of no surprise is supported by some effort to keep course and some important change is in view you can bet that after any notable event there will be a dip and not a rise; accordingly you are well advised to provide reserves for that gap. With this image you can explain things normal and avoid panic. Do you see the usefulness of foreseeing a future which has the shape of a dip-curve?
If instead of mere effort to maintain the statu-quo, there is some pressure building up beneath the line, or if – which is similar – the line is just too silent, with no blips and no feedback, you have good reason to be prudent for some outburst. This may be a future heading for an explosion.
For some things, as you see them weaken constantly, you know that they will fade out like Snow-white’s mother ever thinner in her bed until she disappeared - to wane and disappear. This is a decline future in form of a slope. You draw it in front of a large audience and it says the whole story in one second:
One of my favourite shapes to consider is symmetry; it helps a lot to know that where there is a wing there is a second one, where there is a right hand there is a left hand too; you reckon the whole from seeing a part; you see the ears and you know there will be a whole donkey under them.
When people only see the part, show them the whole.
The bell-shaped curve of the unexceptional is how normal things happen in crowds – we are born, we grow, we peak, we age down and die, and so do careers, projects, institutions, nations and species; observe that I look at this line as a journey. Elementary and well studied.
Few people rise above the segment where they are now – which looks like a line. When needed, only when needed, show the bigger picture, dust to dust.
Exponential growth: something is beyond expectations or out of control like human population growth, viruses, a Ponzi scheme or nuclear chain reaction.
Most of the time you wish this to happen to evil enemies: to grow until they burst, as we all know, don’t we, that when you want to diminish something you must first grow it.
The S-shaped curve, the curse of success, shows pointedly what lies ahead when you seem to be about to conquer the world; “carpe diem!” it says and also prepare now for the time when growth will be exhausted and the niche filled to the brim.
Prepare to retire or invent transition now, find the next world to conquer.
Yet other things, some of which we use to only see in limited segments, belong to wider shapes of cycles as we all know;
Some are circles, revolutions which mean going all the way to come back where all things started; seasons;
it is time to draw the conclusion that the same will come to pass again and again; a good image inviting to do better next time or to step out of form if needed.
Some cycles are spirals, opening into endlessness circling forever higher; there is much learning possible from the previous lower levels; this reminds History to me, always higher, “progress” and still, always similar.
There are environments where you observe the tendency to scatter, for better or for worse; it is useful to imagine a viral tendency of populations, to spread until they conquer in S-shape the whole space available... or they cool down in dispersed energy:
Disorder and chaos are forms worth considering, with uncertainty and with lack of control but with potential too; there will be dragons, danger, but also place and opportunity for something else. Disorder is the best place to hide and the richest place to seek things. Formlessness is a form, the mother of all forms.
 Water_Drop cc Mamad In my mind, one of the mightiest shapes in helping to understand and plan the future is the Taoist metaphor of water, stagnant and flowing; water will go through all the forms, evaporate, rain, freeze, soak or stagnate, will take any form of the recipients it encounters and wait... but every time there is a chance it will flow downwards, where it belongs; beautiful strategy for the resilient ones through unfavourable times.
“In the world there is nothing more submissive and weak than water. Yet for attacking that which is hard and strong nothing can surpass it.” (Tao Te Ching, 78)
From my balcony, this cold winter morning I see a squirrel rummaging the branches of the pine-tree; I throw a handful of nuts to feed him for the day; but this stupid little animal flees, he does not recognise my expression of sympathy.
My good intention is not enough; I must find a way to make the creature understand...
If you want to do things with words, spoken or written, you need first to understand the difference in aim between expression and communication; the former is to give you voice, the second to get across and change something in other people.
Expression is your right of free speech, all it needs is to feel – to you – true enough to what you need to manifest; while communication is your tool for obtaining a result – the rights are with your public to find that what you present makes sense and use. Confusing such different things is quite sad.
This seems elementary, however I observe that except some rare professionals who write books, give speeches and teach courses, a majority write letters, stand up to speak or engage in what they believe to be dialogue by simply spurting out raw data, thoughts, desires and feelings; it does not seem to occur to them that you must clothe what you want to say in forms they are ready to understand and accept. There is a belief that words can flow as they come to mind.
To rise from expression to communication ask yourself for heaven's sake why you talk, what you need to happen and what will produce that change you need in the person spoken to. Next, to come across you cannot spare a moment of empathy to imagine that you are them and feel what would move you in their stead.
To communicate you tune into the same wave - length with your fellow man; for this you move in synchrony, as dolphins jump in accord. If you cannot walk in the street side by side with someone without cutting into the other's trajectory - and that requires a constant representation in your mind of where their next step will be - how could you hope to be heard and understood? To communicate you must care for other people.
Yes, of course, you know this; but honest, do you do it? Do you ask yourself as you are about to talk, write or show "Why do I do this? Who are they, what do they want what will they understand and accept? How will they react?”
_““I see nobody on the road,” said Alice. “I only wish I had such eyes,” the King remarked in a fretful tone. “To be able to see Nobody! And at that distance too! Why, it’s as much as I can do to see real people, by this light!”” [1] Well, the King, and we all, should look twice. What is not there may be, in practice, as important as that which is; at times even more important; For two reasons: - first, because objects missing, persons absent, vacant space, which are not physically present entities to be observed, weigh heavily in our real life; moreover, the things which we do not say or do not do, count. - second, because that which is vacant, unfilled, not yet started, still without form, hides – like infinity –more possibilities than that which is formed, taken and completed. It stands to reason that we should use both presence and absence, both the full and the empty, to understand, to decide and to act. Why is this so often ignored? * This may look like some farfetched playing with words but is in fact very practical, as all good theories are [2]. In my life as an advisor I learned to ask such surprising questions to detect the significant things which were not there but counted: - What should be here and isn’t? What did I expect to find here and do not see? - Is there sufficient space to move and do things? Sufficient intervals to allow coexistence? Sufficient pause to think? - This being what is conspicuously allowed and this, what is forbidden here; what is then not forbidden and what is implicitly allowed? Where are the loopholes? - This being remembered what was forgotten? What escapes attention? What is ignored? - I see here yet another case of the king being naked; why is nobody saying so? What else is unsaid or silenced? - Is there some uncharted territory - around or elsewhere - which we can put to use? Is all space taken? - How narrow is the box in which these people live, in which the problems are impossible to solve and opportunities absent? Could I consider a wider horizon? In fact what can I imagine what could to be here which isn’t? Something that I could bring from far away? - ... Other people, no doubt serious - and usually more competent than I in their discipline - come and look carefully at exactly what is present; they are very good at that, the experts, separating opinion from fact and discarding opinion as if it did not count. The experts at establishing how things really are, are often chained to what is given and less prone to think of making things to be as we want them to be. Such people are quite bad at considering the not present but important, the invisibles, the hollow, the not done, the ignored the forgotten, the unusual but not impossible, or simply the loopholes. They are extremely poor at working constructively with negatives like ignorance and misunderstanding, bad feelings and the like. They cannot prescribe - when needed - to do nothing, to leave things alone and wait; to let happen and to let live. Maybe this is the tragedy of the professional advisor; the client wants to pay for what you do, being not subtle enough or not empowered to pay the preventing of bad loss to happen before it becomes visible. * It was very well said that "Not everything that can be counted counts, and not everything that counts can be counted.”[3] Read more if you want...-------------------------- [1]Carroll Lewis, THROUGH THE LOOKING GLASS AND WHAT ALICE FOUND THERE, Macmillan, N.Y., London 1899 ] [2]Lewin Kurt, “The Research Center for Group Dynamics at M.I.T.” Sociometry 8 (1945), p.128 [3]"Not everything that can be counted counts, and not everything that counts can be counted.”- Quote Investigator suggests crediting William Bruce Cameron instead of Albert Einstein. Cameron’s 1963 text “Informal Sociology: A Casual Introduction to Sociological Thinking” contained the following passage “It would be nice if all of the data which sociologists require could be enumerated because then we could run them through IBM machines and draw charts as the economists do. However, not everything that can be counted counts, and not everything that counts can be counted.” [WCIS] 1963, Informal Sociology, a casual introduction to sociological thinking by William Bruce Cameron, Page 13, Random House, New York. link
 A tip above, a world beneath _Making things simple is complicated! To speak plain and clear you need time and depth; like an iceberg - a quiet crystal peak above the waters holds centuries of frozen storms underneath. * The skill to trigger understanding gives power; there is value in making things simple because complexity threatens and we need to escape it; simplicity feels familiar and practical. The one able to translate misty complexity into familiar simplicity has therefore power. * Why do I claim that complexity is threatening? Much detail is foreseeable confusion. Too much analysis is paralysis. Accurate academic abstraction is an alien planet. Plenty of choice is perplexity. Multiple opinions spell conflict. Profuse words are suspect of ignorance and a will to mystify. Precise expert talk is unnatural jargon made to keep us dependent. Too many probabilities beat the mind. Erudite abundance and subtlety feel like insult to those who do not grasp them. Complication causes uncertainty, insecurity and incompetence: Most people, as I found, are lost in complication, hate to decide among many choices and feel exposed when they do not understand. Simplicity makes one feel in control; plain things are seen as elegant, obvious, reality itself; plainness gives a sense of understanding. When you represent things in understandable form you diminish uncertainty; this is the power to make things simple; strength of the wise, provided it is not left to populists, false prophets, salespeople and other liars gifted to use it in unscrupulous ways. * In exchange of clarity and simpler choices, to feel secure, people are willing to delegate part of their judgment and freedom. We trust those who make us understand. We seek those who reduce our doubts. We entrust them to think for us and to explain how things are, what choices we have and what we should do. There is no stronger persuasion than understanding: the map in our mind directs what we think and what we do. This is power indeed! And danger! When you make things simple you are responsible personally of what you do. READ THE WHOLE ESSAY IT IS AMONG THE ARTICLES
_Not too often, but it does happen**. I am wise: - When I accept that in this life the destination is little and the journey is everything [1]
- When I glimpse how deep is the well of the past [2]
- When I grasp that we become what we think, so that suffering follows evil thought as certainly as the wheels of a cart follow the oxen that draw it [3]
- If I can keep my head when all about me are losing theirs and blaming it on me [4]
- When I say that I know nothing and I understand what I mean [5]
- When I accept that of things, some are in our power, and others are not [6 ] while I practice that some things are given but some we make
- When I do not forget that the source is troubled with any little stirring, but you cannot clear it with a stick; only by leaving the mud to settle [7]
- When I refrain from doing to others that which I hate to be done to me [8]
- When I profess that to serve Man, Man is the measure of all things: of things which are, that they are, and of things which are not, that they are not [9 ]
- When I don't do anything and everything gets done [10]
- When I am mindful that to grow a plant you water it, but to kill it you flood it
- When people see things and ask “why” but I dream of things that never were and ask “why not?” [11]
- When, after I have done my work, people say "we did it "[10]
- When undeterred by learning all this, I still believe that what happens to me is because of me.
- When I do not need to ask anyone, anymore, whether or not the gate is open to pass [12]
Then, I am wise. I did not become wise suddenly; without a long history of errors, foolishness and defeat I would have never become as wise as I am now. In fact I am not yet wise, I am only about to become so, ceaselessly, with hesitation, interminably… One thing I know: as long as I persist to seek, I am wise… __________________________________________________________ * Have no fear; I did not see the light! This scherzo is to help you test your wisdom as it helps me question mine. ** The interesting challenge I am trying to investigate here is: How to know when you are wise? What landmarks to use? Wisdom can hardly be measured but you can recognize its shape if you have what it takes… [1] Constantin Cavafy, Ithaka, 1911 in Cavafy's Collected Poems, tr. Edmund Keeley and Philip Sherrard, ed George Savidis, Princeton University Press, 1980.]: Ithaca When you set out for Ithaka ask that your way be long, full of adventure, full of instruction. The Laistrygonians and the Cyclops, angry Poseidon - do not fear them: such as these you will never find as long as your thought is lofty, as long as a rare emotion touch your spirit and your body. The Laistrygonians and the Cyclops, angry Poseidon - you will not meet them unless you carry them in your soul, unless your soul raise them up before you. Ask that your way be long. At many a Summer dawn to enter with what gratitude, what joy - ports seen for the first time; to stop at Phoenician trading centres, and to buy good merchandise, mother of pearl and coral, amber and ebony, and sensuous perfumes of every kind, sensuous perfumes as lavishly as you can; to visit many Egyptian cities, to gather stores of knowledge from the learned. Have Ithaka always in your mind. Your arrival there is what you are destined for. But don't in the least hurry the journey. Better it last for years, so that when you reach the island you are old, rich with all you have gained on the way, not expecting Ithaka to give you wealth. Ithaka gave you a splendid journey. Without her you would not have set out. She hasn't anything else to give you. And if you find her poor, Ithaka hasn't deceived you. So wise you have become, of such experience, that already you'll have understood what these Ithakas mean. (text from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Constantine_P._Cavafy) Read beautifully on You Tube by Sean Connery http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1n3n2Ox4Yfk [2] Thomas Mann, Joseph and His Brothers [3] Buddha Dhammapada, in The Dhammapada, tr. Eknath Easwaran, Nilgiri Press, Tomales, California, 1985. [4] Kipling, If in Rydyard Kiplings Verse, Inclusive Edition, 1885-1918, Doubleday Page and Co. Garden City, 1919 [5] Plato’s Socrates in Plato, Apology, Loeb Classical Library, Harvard UP, Cambridge.., 2005 p. 83: “I went away, I thought to myself, "I am wiser than this man ; for neither of us really knows anything fine and good, but this man thinks he knows something when he does not, whereas I, as I do not know anything, do not think I do either. I seem, then, in just this little thing to be wiser than this man at any rate, that what I do not know I do not think I know either." [6] Epictetus, Enchiridion in The Discourses of Epictetus, tr. G. Long, Hurst & Co, New York, p. 387 [7] Baltasar Gracian, The art of worldly Wisdom, Tr. J. Jacobs, Macmillan, London 1904, §88 [8] The Golden Rule “Never impose on others what you would not choose for yourself” Confucius, Analects XV.24 (tr. David Hinton)] [9 ]Protagoras, in Sextus Empiricus (Adv. math. 7.60) ] [10] Lao Tzu, Tao Te Ching, tr. Lau D.C., Penguin Classics, 1964 [11] Shaw, G.B., Back to Methuselah.., Constable, London, 1949, act I [12]Ekai, The Gateless Gate in Paul Reps, Zen Flesh Zen Bones, Penguin Harmondsworth, 1986 ]
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